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Cook Islands vs Tahiti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International CIFA Complex, Rarotonga
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AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Cook Islands and Tahiti finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cook Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cook Islands
15%
Draws
51%
Tahiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands Tahiti
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.93 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Friendly International
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
3:2
Sep 27, 2026 Friendly International
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:0
Sep 4, 2007 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:1
May 10, 2004 World Championship
Tahiti vs Cook Islands
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands 30 / 100
Tahiti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands Tahiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Cook Islands scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Solid form: Cook Islands remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands VS Tahiti
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands

(Home)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
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Tahiti

(Away)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
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