Sport Picks
Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó 
Match Events
40'
40'
Lopez M.
45'
45'
Mancilla N.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez K. In: Sabella A.
Out: Gonzalez K.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Copiapo and D. Puerto Montt finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Copiapo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Copiapo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- D. Puerto Montt carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Copiapo a 59% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 68%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Copiapo | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt
3:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Copiapo
2:0
Nov 19, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt
4:0
Nov 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Copiapo
3:0
Oct 25, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Copiapo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Copiapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ortiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Copiapo 86 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Copiapo D. Puerto Montt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Copiapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Copiapo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
D. Puerto Montt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Copiapo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Copiapo VS D. Puerto Montt
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Copiapo
(Home) 03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4 Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1 San Luis
Page 1 of 3
D. Puerto Montt
(Away) 03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
29 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 Colo Colo
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
