Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Copiapo host D. Puerto Montt in the Liga de Ascenso. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Copiapo have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against D. Puerto Montt's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Copiapo have won 3 to D. Puerto Montt's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back D. Puerto Montt to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Copiapo
6%
Draws
90%
D. Puerto Montt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives D. Puerto Montt a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 15%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo D. Puerto Montt
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Copiapo
2:0
Nov 19, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt
4:0
Nov 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Copiapo
3:0
Oct 25, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Copiapo
0:1
May 21, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs D. Puerto Montt
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 10 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo D. Puerto Montt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Copiapo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

D. Puerto Montt let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Copiapo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS D. Puerto Montt
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283