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Stadium Background

Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Copiapo host Deportes Santa Cruz in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Copiapo have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Deportes Santa Cruz's 0.97 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Copiapo slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 1, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring Copiapo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Copiapo
20%
Draws
7%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Copiapo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Copiapo lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Copiapo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo
0:1
Sep 12, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Deportes Santa Cruz
4:2
Apr 26, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Copiapo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 85 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo Deportes Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Copiapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Copiapo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Deportes Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Copiapo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
19 Oct
U. Espanola
1 : 0
Copiapo
11 Oct
Copiapo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

Deportes Santa Cruz

(Away)
18 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Antofagasta
10 Oct
Deportes Temuco
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2
San Marcos de Arica
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Luis 28 15 8 5 43:29 53
2 Cobreloa 28 14 9 5 51:30 51
3 S. Wanderers 28 13 8 7 46:31 47
4 Magallanes 28 13 7 8 44:40 46
5 Antofagasta 28 12 9 7 47:26 45
6 Recoleta 28 11 8 9 40:42 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 28 10 10 8 33:27 40
8 Copiapo 28 11 7 10 42:41 40
9 U. Espanola 28 11 6 11 33:35 39
10 Deportes Temuco 28 9 9 10 44:39 36
11 Deportes Iquique 28 8 11 9 38:32 35
12 D. Puerto Montt 28 10 5 13 26:35 35
13 Curico Unido 28 7 10 11 26:42 28
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 28 4 11 13 28:42 23
15 San Felipe 28 5 8 15 18:50 23
16 Rangers 28 5 6 17 28:46 21
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)