Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs San Luis

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Madrigal G.
44'
Catalan D.
45'
Parada S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Copiapo
35%
Draws
42%
San Luis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: San Luis at 1.46 per game, Copiapo at 1.07.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Copiapo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 68%
San Luis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo San Luis
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs San Luis
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Copiapo
2:2
Feb 7, 2026 Copa Chile
San Luis vs Copiapo
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
Copiapo vs San Luis
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Copiapo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Madrigal G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 50 / 100
San Luis 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Copiapo scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

San Luis has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Copiapo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS San Luis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1
San Luis
04 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 4
Copiapo
26 Jul
Rangers
0 : 0
Copiapo
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
05 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Copiapo
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San Luis

(Away)
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1
San Luis
31 Jul
San Luis
1 : 1
Rangers
25 Jul
Curico Unido
1 : 2
San Luis
11 Jul
San Luis
4 : 0
U. Catolica
04 Jul
San Luis
2 : 2
Everton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 18 9 7 2 35:20 34
2 S. Wanderers 18 9 6 3 35:20 33
3 San Marcos de Arica 18 7 9 2 23:13 30
4 D. Puerto Montt 18 9 3 6 21:18 30
5 Antofagasta 18 8 5 5 32:20 29
6 San Luis 18 7 7 4 28:24 28
7 Magallanes 18 8 4 6 31:31 28
8 Copiapo 18 7 6 5 26:25 27
9 U. Espanola 18 7 4 7 25:26 25
10 Deportes Temuco 18 6 5 7 30:27 23
11 Recoleta 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
12 Curico Unido 18 4 8 6 17:26 20
13 Deportes Iquique 18 3 9 6 22:25 18
14 San Felipe 18 4 5 9 14:34 17
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 18 2 7 9 22:33 13
16 Rangers 18 0 6 12 12:29 6
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)