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Coquimbo vs U. De Concepcion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Hernandez E. In: Soza L.
Out: Hernandez E.
47'
Saez B.
54'
Zavala C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between Coquimbo and U. De Concepcion finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coquimbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Coquimbo
15%
Draws
28%
U. De Concepcion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Coquimbo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Coquimbo a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 68%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo U. De Concepcion
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.36 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs U. De Concepcion
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Coquimbo
1:0
Sep 16, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
U. De Concepcion vs Coquimbo
0:1
May 10, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Coquimbo vs U. De Concepcion
1:0
Feb 7, 2021 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs Coquimbo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveros L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. De Concepcion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 59 / 100
U. De Concepcion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo U. De Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coquimbo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coquimbo scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

U. De Concepcion has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

U. De Concepcion's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS U. De Concepcion
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
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U. De Concepcion

(Away)
02 Oct
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
Huachipato
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1
U. De Concepcion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)