Sport Picks

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Coquimbo W vs U. Catolica W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Figueroa A.
83' Event
Moreno A.
90' Event
Moreno A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Coquimbo W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Coquimbo W
39%
Draws
30%
U. Catolica W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and U. Catolica W come out ahead of Coquimbo W on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • U. Catolica W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Coquimbo W Clean Sheet 15%
U. Catolica W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo W U. Catolica W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera Division Women
U. Catolica W vs Coquimbo W
3:2
May 30, 2026 Primera Division Women
Coquimbo W vs U. Catolica W
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primera Division Women
Coquimbo W vs U. Catolica W
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Primera Division Women
U. Catolica W vs Coquimbo W
3:3
Aug 27, 2025 Primera Division Women
Coquimbo W vs U. Catolica W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. Catolica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo W 31 / 100
U. Catolica W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo W U. Catolica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Coquimbo W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Coquimbo W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

U. Catolica W let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo W VS U. Catolica W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo W

(Home)
12 Jul
U. Catolica W
3 : 2
Coquimbo W
08 Jul
Coquimbo W
0 : 3
Colo Colo W
03 Jul
Coquimbo W
2 : 0
S. Wanderers W
27 Jun
Deportes Iquique W
0 : 2
Coquimbo W
20 Jun
S. Wanderers W
0 : 2
Coquimbo W
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U. Catolica W

(Away)
12 Jul
U. Catolica W
3 : 2
Coquimbo W
08 Jul
U. Catolica W
2 : 0
S. Wanderers W
03 Jul
Colo Colo W
2 : 1
U. Catolica W
27 Jun
U. Catolica W
4 : 0
U. De Concepcion W
20 Jun
Palestino W
0 : 1
U. Catolica W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Colo Colo W10
Palestino W0
Coquimbo W5
U. Catolica W4
U. De Chile W4
Huachipato W1
U. Espanola W2
Deportes Iquique W1
Semi-finals
Colo Colo W2
Coquimbo W0
U. De Chile W6
U. Espanola W2
Final
Colo Colo W1
U. De Chile W0