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Coria C.F. vs CD Alcala

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between Coria C.F. and CD Alcala finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coria C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Coria C.F.
20%
Draws
44%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alcala come out ahead of Coria C.F. on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 19%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coria C.F. CD Alcala
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs CD Alcala
5:1
Nov 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Coria C.F.
0:2
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs CD Alcala
0:2
Aug 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs Coria C.F.
1:1
Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs CD Alcala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coria C.F. 36 / 100
CD Alcala 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coria C.F. CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alcala has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Coria C.F. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: CD Alcala has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coria C.F. VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coria C.F.

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)