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Coria C.F. vs San Roque de Lepe

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Romero D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Coria C.F. and San Roque de Lepe finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coria C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Coria C.F.
35%
Draws
19%
San Roque de Lepe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coria C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Coria C.F. haven't matched San Roque de Lepe's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coria C.F.'s way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 18%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coria C.F. San Roque de Lepe
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs San Roque de Lepe
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Coria C.F.
2:0
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs San Roque de Lepe
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Coria C.F.
1:0
Dec 28, 2022 Club Friendly
Coria C.F. vs San Roque de Lepe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coria C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Roque de Lepe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coria C.F. 36 / 100
San Roque de Lepe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coria C.F. San Roque de Lepe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Lepe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Coria C.F. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: San Roque de Lepe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Coria C.F. scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coria C.F. VS San Roque de Lepe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coria C.F.

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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San Roque de Lepe

(Away)
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
Cordoba B
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
26 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 2
Chiclana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)