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Corinthian-Casuals vs Harrow Borough

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Sat, Oct 8, 2022
2 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corinthian-Casuals play Harrow Borough in the FA Trophy 2022/2023. Harrow Borough are favorites here. Recently, Corinthian-Casuals averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2 conceded. Harrow Borough averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Corinthian-Casuals won 0, Harrow Borough won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2022 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Corinthian-Casuals and 1.00 for Harrow Borough. This points to a Harrow Borough double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Corinthian-Casuals
25%
Draws
60%
Harrow Borough
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Harrow Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Corinthian-Casuals picked up more points recently compared to Harrow Borough.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Corinthian-Casuals Clean Sheet 23%
Harrow Borough Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthian-Casuals Harrow Borough
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 FA Trophy
Corinthian-Casuals vs Harrow Borough
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthian-Casuals 18 / 100
Harrow Borough 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthian-Casuals Harrow Borough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrow Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Harrow Borough & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Corinthian-Casuals attacking → ← attacking Harrow Borough

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthian-Casuals scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Harrow Borough let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Corinthian-Casuals went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Harrow Borough lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 40
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75