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Corinthians U17 vs Fortaleza U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cristian
27' Event
Guilherme Arsilla
34'
Esteves B.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 2025 game between Corinthians U17 and Fortaleza U17 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corinthians U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Corinthians U17
6%
Draws
4%
Fortaleza U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Corinthians U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians U17 come out ahead of Fortaleza U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Corinthians U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Corinthians U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U17 Fortaleza U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Corinthians U17 vs Fortaleza U17
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Arsilla
3 Goals
Assists Leader Cristian
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Fortaleza U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro C. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U17 85 / 100
Fortaleza U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U17 Fortaleza U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians U17 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Fortaleza U17 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Corinthians U17 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians U17 VS Fortaleza U17
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians U17

(Home)
21 Jul
Corinthians U17
4 : 0
Internacional U17
15 Jul
Vasco U17
0 : 3
Corinthians U17
07 Jul
Corinthians U17
3 : 1
Palmeiras U17
30 Jun
Santos U17
2 : 1
Corinthians U17
23 Jun
Corinthians U17
4 : 0
Botafogo RJ U17
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Fortaleza U17

(Away)
21 Jul
Athletico-PR U17
3 : 0
Fortaleza U17
14 Jul
Botafogo RJ U17
6 : 3
Fortaleza U17
07 Jul
Fortaleza U17
1 : 1
Atletico-MG U17
30 Jun
Fortaleza U17
3 : 2
Bahia U17
23 Jun
Atletico GO U17
0 : 2
Fortaleza U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U1719151355:1946
2Athletico-PR U1719123450:2639
3Flamengo RJ U1719114440:2337
4Bragantino U1719113536:1936
5Gremio U1719112644:3235
6Atletico-MG U1719105444:2235
7Fluminense U1719105430:2235
8Vasco U171996435:2833
9Corinthians U171995541:2632
10Santos U171994635:3131
11Sao Paulo U171985631:2729
12Cruzeiro U171983841:3127
13Fortaleza U171973924:2524
14Botafogo RJ U171955933:4620
15EC Juventude U1719541022:3619
16Internacional U1719531129:3418
17Cuiaba U1719271016:4313
18Bahia U1719231421:489
19America MG U1719151317:528
20Atletico GO U1719041514:684
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 2025 (Play Offs)