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Corinthians U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Corinthians U20 have averaged 1.72 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Portuguesa Santista U20's 0.93 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Corinthians U20 slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.81) point toward Corinthians U20. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Corinthians U20
35%
Draws
27%
Portuguesa Santista U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Corinthians U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Corinthians U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Corinthians U20 taking it.
  • Corinthians U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Portuguesa Santista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U20 Portuguesa Santista U20
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Paulista U20
Portuguesa Santista U20 vs Corinthians U20
0:0
Jun 13, 2026 Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 76 / 100
Portuguesa Santista U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U20 Portuguesa Santista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Corinthians U20 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Corinthians U20's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Portuguesa Santista U20 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians U20 VS Portuguesa Santista U20
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians U20

(Home)
09 Oct
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
Corinthians U20
4 : 0
America SP U20
04 Sept
Sao Bento U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
Page 1 of 7

Portuguesa Santista U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
27 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
19 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
2 : 1
Novorizontino U20
12 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 2
Portuguesa Santista U20
04 Sept
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Flamengo SP U20 0
Bragantino U20 0
Portuguesa Santista U20 0
Corinthians U20 0
Sfera U20 2
Guarani U20 1
Santo Andre U20 3
CA Juventus U20 1
Capivariano U20 0
Ibrachina U20 0
Desportivo U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ponte Preta U20 -
Santos U20 -
Botafogo SP U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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