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Corinthians U20 vs Sao Caetano U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Corinthians U20 and Sao Caetano U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corinthians U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Corinthians U20
20%
Draws
23%
Sao Caetano U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corinthians U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Corinthians U20 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Corinthians U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U20 Sao Caetano U20
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 22 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.18 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Corinthians U20
1:3
Apr 20, 2024 Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
0:0
Aug 25, 2023 Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
4:0
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Corinthians U20
0:1
May 21, 2023 Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 85 / 100
Sao Caetano U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U20 Sao Caetano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians U20's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Sao Caetano U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Corinthians U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians U20 VS Sao Caetano U20
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
Corinthians U20
4 : 0
America SP U20
04 Sept
Sao Bento U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
21 Aug
Corinthians U20
1 : 2
CA Juventus U20
Page 1 of 8

Sao Caetano U20

(Away)
12 Sept
Ibrachina U20
4 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
08 Sept
Sao Caetano U20
1 : 2
Osasco Sporting U20
21 Aug
Santo Andre U20
0 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Piracicaba U20
2 : 1
Sao Caetano U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 Vocem U20 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
4 Mogi Mirim U20 6 0 0 6 1:17 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa U20 6 4 0 2 10:9 12
2 Osasco Sporting U20 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
3 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
4 Rio Preto EC U20 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Portuguesa U20 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Rio Claro U20 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Taubate U20 6 0 1 5 2:8 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Ibrachina U20 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
3 Tanabi U20 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Juventus-SP U20 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 6 5 1 0 19:5 16
2 Bragantino U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial U20 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 Lemense U20 6 1 0 5 3:18 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
2 Novorizontino U20 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
3 Guarani U20 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
4 Ituano U20 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional de Limeira U20 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 Corinthians U20 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Ponte Preta U20 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sao Caetano U20 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 6 6 0 0 35:3 18
2 Desportivo U20 6 3 1 2 31:13 10
3 Capivariano U20 6 2 1 3 22:13 7
4 Aracatuba FC U20 6 0 0 6 2:61 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)