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Corinthians vs Fluminense

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corinthians host Fluminense in the Serie A Betano. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Fluminense have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Corinthians have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Corinthians have won 2 to Fluminense's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.38) back Fluminense to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Corinthians
20%
Draws
70%
Fluminense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fluminense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 17%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians Fluminense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 12
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.06 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Corinthians
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Corinthians
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Fluminense
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Corinthians
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie A Betano
Corinthians vs Fluminense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians 36 / 100
Fluminense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fluminense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Corinthians scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Fluminense has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Corinthians stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians VS Fluminense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians

(Home)
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Corinthians
0 : 1
Santos
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
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Fluminense

(Away)
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Atletico-MG
3 : 1
Fluminense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 27 17 6 4 53:22 57
2 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 47:21 56
3 Athletico-PR 27 13 7 7 41:31 46
4 Bahia 27 12 10 5 42:33 46
5 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 41:35 45
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 39:39 42
7 Atletico-MG 26 11 6 9 35:31 39
8 Coritiba 27 10 8 9 37:38 38
9 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 32:29 36
10 Santos 26 9 8 9 39:39 35
11 Botafogo RJ 27 9 8 10 41:43 35
12 Sao Paulo 26 9 6 11 31:30 33
13 Vitoria 27 9 6 12 27:39 33
14 Corinthians 27 8 8 11 28:29 32
15 Mirassol 27 7 8 12 31:42 29
16 Gremio 27 7 7 13 30:38 28
17 Vasco 26 7 7 12 29:41 28
18 Internacional 27 6 10 11 30:35 28
19 Remo 27 5 8 14 31:45 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 26 3 8 15 28:52 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)