Sport Picks
Corinthians vs Mirassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo 
Match Events
24'
24'
Bruno Santos
43'
43'
Edson Carioca
45'
45'
Rafael Guanaes
AI Match Summary
Corinthians in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corinthians.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirassol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mirassol lately — more wins on the board than Corinthians.
- Win probability leans Mirassol's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Corinthians | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 Serie A
Corinthians vs Mirassol
2:0
May 3, 2026 Serie A
Mirassol vs Corinthians
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Corinthians vs Mirassol
3:0
May 10, 2025 Serie A
Mirassol vs Corinthians
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Paulista
Corinthians vs Mirassol
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Corinthians Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Bidu
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaio Cesar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Mirassol Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Corinthians 22 / 100
Mirassol 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Corinthians Mirassol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mirassol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mirassol has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Corinthians's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Corinthians remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Corinthians VS Mirassol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Corinthians
(Home) 24 Oct
Vasco
3 : 2 Corinthians
19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1 Vitoria
11 Oct
Palmeiras
4 : 1 Corinthians
07 Oct
Internacional
2 : 1 Corinthians
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3 Fluminense
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19 Oct
Corinthians
1 : 1 Vitoria
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3 Fluminense
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Corinthians
0 : 1 Santos
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Mirassol
(Away) 24 Oct
Mirassol
1 : 1 Sao Paulo
16 Oct
Mirassol
2 : 0 Internacional
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1 Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4 Mirassol
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11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1 Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4 Mirassol
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0 Mirassol
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68:28 | 73 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 52:46 | 57 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50:40 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 44:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:49 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 17 | Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
