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Corinthians W vs Ferroviaria W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Jhonson

AI Match Summary

Corinthians W in this Paulista Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corinthians W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Corinthians W
30%
Draws
31%
Ferroviaria W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Corinthians W have won more games recently than Ferroviaria W.
  • Corinthians W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Ferroviaria W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 10
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.33 1.72
Goals Conceded 1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Ferroviaria W vs Corinthians W
1:0
Jul 17, 2026 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Ferroviaria W
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Ferroviaria W
3:1
Nov 13, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Corinthians W
0:0
Oct 15, 2025 Copa Libertadores Women
Corinthians W vs Ferroviaria W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ferroviaria W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 42 / 100
Ferroviaria W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Ferroviaria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Corinthians W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ferroviaria W let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Ferroviaria W
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
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Ferroviaria W

(Away)
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Sao Paulo W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2
Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)