Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corinthians W vs Fluminense W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Aquino B.
20' Event
Jaqueline Ribeiro
33'
Sub
Gi Fernandes In: Leticia Teles
Out: Gi Fernandes

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Corinthians W and Fluminense W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Corinthians W
20%
Draws
40%
Fluminense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fluminense W haven't matched Corinthians W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Corinthians W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Fluminense W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Fluminense W
2:2
Apr 15, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Corinthians W
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Fluminense W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaqueline Ribeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fluminense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sochor
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Souza Gomes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 36 / 100
Fluminense W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Fluminense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Fluminense W has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Corinthians W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Fluminense W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
38% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians W

(Home)
22 Aug
Corinthians W
1 : 3
Internacional W
15 Aug
Bahia W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
12 Aug
Mirassol W
1 : 4
Corinthians W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
03 Aug
CR Flamengo W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 6

Fluminense W

(Away)
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1
America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2
Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1
Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0
Fluminense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)