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Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Neo Quimica Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Duda Sampaio
28' Event
Andressa Alves
33'
Ivana Fuso

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Corinthians W and Sao Paulo W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corinthians W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Corinthians W
44%
Draws
20%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians W come out ahead of Sao Paulo W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Corinthians W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 25 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
2:1
May 8, 2026 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Corinthians W
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Duda Sampaio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andressa Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrana
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 36 / 100
Sao Paulo W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Sao Paulo W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corinthians W's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sao Paulo W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Corinthians W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Sao Paulo W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W121386:256
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245