Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corisabba vs Comercial PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
De Sousa Silva F.
58' Event
Luis Carlos
76' Event
Joao Juliao
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Corisabba in this Piauiense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corisabba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Corisabba
30%
Draws
58%
Comercial PI
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comercial PI lately — more wins on the board than Corisabba.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Comercial PI taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Corisabba Clean Sheet 22%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corisabba Comercial PI
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Piauiense 2
Corisabba vs Comercial PI
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Corisabba
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Piauiense 2
Corisabba vs Comercial PI
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Piauiense
Comercial PI vs Corisabba
2:1
Jan 29, 2023 Piauiense
Corisabba vs Comercial PI
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corisabba Compare

Top Goalscorer De Sousa Silva F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis Carlos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Comercial PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Heltinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corisabba 16 / 100
Comercial PI 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corisabba Comercial PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corisabba found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Comercial PI conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Corisabba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Corisabba VS Comercial PI
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Corisabba

(Home)
22 Feb
Corisabba
0 : 0
Piaui
12 Feb
AE Altos
3 : 1
Corisabba
07 Feb
Corisabba
1 : 1
Fluminense-PI
31 Jan
Oeirense
3 : 1
Corisabba
25 Jan
Atletico-PI
3 : 0
Corisabba
Page 1 of 6

Comercial PI

(Away)
26 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
Comercial PI
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corisabba 5 3 2 0 4:1 11
2 Flamengo PI 5 2 3 0 4:0 9
3 TEC 5 2 3 0 3:1 9
4 Comercial PI 5 1 1 3 5:6 4
5 Picos 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
6 Caicara 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2025 (Play Offs)