Sport Picks

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Coritiba vs Palmeiras

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio Couto Pereira
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coritiba host Palmeiras in the Serie A Betano. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Coritiba have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Palmeiras's 1.75 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Palmeiras slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 22, 2023, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.75) point toward Palmeiras. Palmeiras in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Coritiba
6%
Draws
90%
Palmeiras
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palmeiras come out ahead of Coritiba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Palmeiras a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palmeiras have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 12%
Palmeiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Palmeiras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 21
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Palmeiras
0:2
Jun 4, 2023 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Coritiba
3:1
Oct 6, 2022 Serie A Betano
Palmeiras vs Coritiba
4:0
Jun 12, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Palmeiras
0:2
Feb 17, 2021 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Palmeiras
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 10 / 100
Palmeiras 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Palmeiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coritiba scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Coritiba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Palmeiras
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339