Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coritiba SE vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Coritiba SE and Forca Jovem Aquidaba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coritiba SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Coritiba SE
15%
Draws
57%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forca Jovem Aquidaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Forca Jovem Aquidaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Forca Jovem Aquidaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Forca Jovem Aquidaba have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Coritiba SE Clean Sheet 10%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba SE Forca Jovem Aquidaba
Matches Played 14 24
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Sergipano 3
Coritiba SE vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Coritiba SE vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1:5
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba vs Coritiba SE
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba SE 10 / 100
Forca Jovem Aquidaba 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba SE Forca Jovem Aquidaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forca Jovem Aquidaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forca Jovem Aquidaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Difficult form: Forca Jovem Aquidaba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Coritiba SE's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba SE VS Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
4.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba SE

(Home)
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0
Coritiba SE
20 Sept
Coritiba SE
0 : 6
Propria
17 Sept
Coritiba SE
1 : 3
Santa Cruz SE
Page 1 of 3

Forca Jovem Aquidaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
1 : 3
Socorro
01 Oct
Coritiba SE
1 : 0
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
17 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
0 : 1
Socorrense
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)