Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coritiba vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Wesley Rodrigues
8' Event
Josue
Penalty Missed
9' Event
Fabinho

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Coritiba
30%
Draws
29%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coritiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coritiba come out ahead of Cianorte on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Coritiba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coritiba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Coritiba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 18%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Cianorte
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Cianorte
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
4:1
Mar 9, 2024 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Cianorte
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Josue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Cianorte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 32 / 100
Cianorte 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cianorte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coritiba scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Cianorte let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Coritiba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Cianorte
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
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Cianorte

(Away)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1