Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Thiago Santos
54'
54'
Sub
Thiago Santos In: Tissi
Out: Thiago Santos
60'
60'
Sub
Felipe Morais In: Kaique Kenji
Out: Felipe Morais
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Coritiba and Cruzeiro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cruzeiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coritiba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cruzeiro come out ahead of Coritiba on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 13%
Cruzeiro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Cruzeiro
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Cruzeiro
1:0
Jul 16, 2023 Serie A Betano
Cruzeiro vs Coritiba
0:0
Oct 9, 2021 Serie B
Coritiba vs Cruzeiro
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Cruzeiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Pereira
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 31 / 100
Cruzeiro 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Cruzeiro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cruzeiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coritiba scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Cruzeiro has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Coritiba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Cruzeiro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0 Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3 Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3 Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Corinthians
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
31 Jul
Coritiba
0 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 4
Cruzeiro
(Away) 20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3 Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1 Athletico-PR
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 3 Cruzeiro
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
02 Sept
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
30 Aug
Vasco
3 : 1 Cruzeiro
20 Aug
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 36 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
