Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coritiba vs Rio Branco PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2025 Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dellatorre
36' Event
Josue
46'
Sub
Gomes J. In: Ze Andrade
Out: Gomes J.

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2025 game between Coritiba and Rio Branco PR finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coritiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Coritiba
20%
Draws
29%
Rio Branco PR
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coritiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coritiba come out ahead of Rio Branco PR on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Coritiba's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Rio Branco PR
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Rio Branco PR
4:0
Jan 22, 2023 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Rio Branco PR
1:0
Feb 2, 2022 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Rio Branco PR
2:0
May 15, 2021 Paranaense
Rio Branco PR vs Coritiba
2:1
Jan 23, 2020 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Rio Branco PR
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dellatorre
2 Goals
Assists Leader Josue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Rio Branco PR Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 46 / 100
Rio Branco PR 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Rio Branco PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coritiba scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Rio Branco PR let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Coritiba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Rio Branco PR
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
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Rio Branco PR

(Away)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario-PR 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Athletico-PR 11 6 4 1 19:9 22
3 Coritiba 11 6 2 3 19:8 20
4 Londrina 11 6 2 3 16:10 20
5 Cianorte 11 5 2 4 18:13 17
6 Maringa FC 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
7 Azuriz 11 5 0 6 8:13 15
8 Sao Joseense 11 4 1 6 13:21 13
9 FC Cascavel 11 3 4 4 7:10 13
10 Clube Andraus Brasil 11 3 1 7 9:19 10
11 Rio Branco PR 11 3 1 7 11:22 10
12 Parana 11 1 4 6 4:13 7
Promotion - Paranaense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 2 (Main)