Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coritiba vs Santos

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Tinga In: Felipe Jonatan
Out: Tinga
6'
Sub
Joao Schmidt In: Willian Arao
Out: Joao Schmidt
15'
Ferreira Melo B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Coritiba
15%
Draws
54%
Santos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos lately — more wins on the board than Coritiba.
  • Model gives Santos a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 14%
Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Santos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Coritiba
0:3
May 13, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Santos vs Coritiba
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Coritiba vs Santos
1:4
Nov 12, 2024 Serie B
Coritiba vs Santos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Bontempo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 23 / 100
Santos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Coritiba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santos let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Santos
1.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 6

Santos

(Away)
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3
Santos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria 2
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Sport Recife -
Anapolis -
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Cianorte -
Rio Branco ES -
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Athletic Club -
Ypiranga FC -
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Ji-Parana 2
Pantanal 0
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Internacional -
Ivinhema 1
Independente AP 0
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Volta Redonda -
America RN -
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Gremio Atletico Sampaio -
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG -
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America de Propria 1
Tirol 2
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Vasco da Gama AC 1
Velo Clube 2
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Vila Nova FC -
ASA -
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Operario MS -
Confianca -
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Tombense -
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Oratorio -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista -
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Maringa FC -
Retro -
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Uberlandia -
Gama 2
Monte Roraima 0
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Goias -
Trem -
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Fluminense-PI -
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville -
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CSA -
Sao Bernardo -
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Alagoinhas -
Sao Luiz -
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Maranhao -
Ceara -
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Araguaina 0
Primavera EC 3
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso -
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Tocantinopolis -
EC Juventude -
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Galvez 1
Guapore 2
Bare 0
Madureira 3
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ABC -
Aguia De Maraba -
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Independencia Futebol Clube -
Portuguesa -
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AE Altos -
Avai -
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Porto Vitoria -
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ -
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Maracana -
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Vasco -
Capital FC -
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Manaus FC -
Londrina -
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SC Penedense -
Betim FC 1
Piaui 0
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Operario-PR -
Juazeirense -
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Capital -
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Fluminense -
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Operario VG -
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Porto Velho -
Atletico GO -
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Primavera AC 2
Bragantino PA 1
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul -
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Guarany de Bage -
Flamengo RJ -
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Santa Catarina 2
IAPE 0
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Cuiaba -
Ceilandia -
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Jacuipense -
Mixto -
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Botafogo PB -
Novorizontino -
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Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
Castanhal -
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Guarani -
Nova Iguacu -
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Lagarto -
Manauara -
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Itabaiana -
Fortaleza -
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Maguary 1
Laguna RN 0
Santa Cruz -
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Sousa -
CRB -
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Porto-BA 2
Serra Branca 1
Imperatriz -
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Amazonas -
Figueirense -
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Azuriz -
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Remo -
1/128-finals
Desportiva Ferroviaria 0
Sport Recife 1
Anapolis 3
Cianorte 1
Rio Branco ES 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 2
Ji-Parana 0
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Ivinhema 2
Volta Redonda 4
America RN 3
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -
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America MG 2
Tirol 1
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Corinthians -
Bragantino -
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Mirassol -
Gremio -
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Velo Clube 0
Vila Nova FC 1
ASA 1
Operario MS 2
Confianca -
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Tombense 2
Oratorio 1
Botafogo RJ -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Boavista 2
Maringa FC 3
Retro 1
Uberlandia 2
Gama 2
Goias 3
Trem 0
Fluminense-PI 1
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 1
CSA 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Alagoinhas 0
Sao Luiz 0
Maranhao 1
Ceara 2
Primavera EC 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 4
Tocantinopolis 1
EC Juventude 5
Guapore 0
Madureira 1
ABC 0
Aguia De Maraba 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 0
Portuguesa 5
AE Altos 1
Avai 3
Porto Vitoria 0
Paysandu PA -
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Portuguesa RJ 1
Maracana 0
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TBD -
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Vasco -
Capital FC 1
Manaus FC 2
Londrina 1
SC Penedense 0
Betim FC 0
Operario-PR 2
Juazeirense 1
Capital 2
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Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
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Operario VG 1
Porto Velho 2
Atletico GO 1
Primavera AC 0
Ponte Preta -
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SER Caxias do Sul 0
Guarany de Bage 1
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
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Santa Catarina 2
Cuiaba 1
Ceilandia 1
Jacuipense 2
Mixto 2
Botafogo PB 1
Novorizontino 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0
Castanhal 2
Guarani 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Lagarto 1
Manauara 3
Itabaiana 1
Fortaleza 4
Maguary 3
Santa Cruz 0
Sousa 1
CRB 6
Porto-BA 0
Imperatriz 0
Amazonas 3
Figueirense 1
Azuriz 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/64-finals
Sport Recife 2
Anapolis 1
Athletic Club 2
Ypiranga FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 1
America RN 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
America MG 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
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Vila Nova FC 2
Operario MS 1
Confianca 2
Tombense 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 3
Uberlandia 2
Goias 3
Fluminense-PI 0
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Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
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Joinville 0
Sao Bernardo 1
Maranhao 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
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Tuna Luso 1
EC Juventude 2
Madureira 0
Aguia De Maraba 1
Portuguesa 2
Avai 1
Paysandu PA 3
Portuguesa RJ 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Vasco -
Manaus FC 0
Londrina 1
Operario-PR 2
Capital 0
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TBD -
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
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Porto Velho 0
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 1
Guarany de Bage 0
Flamengo RJ -
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Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
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Santa Catarina 0
Jacuipense 1
Mixto 0
Novorizontino 3
Castanhal 0
Nova Iguacu 4
Manauara 0
Fortaleza 1
Sousa 0
CRB 2
Amazonas 0
Figueirense 1
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/32-finals
Sport Recife 1
Athletic Club 3
TBD -
Internacional -
Volta Redonda 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Bragantino -
TBD -
TBD -
Mirassol -
Gremio -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 0
Confianca 1
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
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Chapecoense-SC -
Maringa FC 0
Goias 1
TBD -
Cruzeiro -
Atletico-MG -
TBD -
Sao Bernardo 0
Ceara 1
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
EC Juventude 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Portuguesa 2
Paysandu PA 3
TBD -
Vasco -
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1
TBD -
Fluminense -
Athletico-PR -
TBD -
Atletico GO 1
Ponte Preta 0
Flamengo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria -
Palmeiras -
TBD -
Jacuipense 1
Novorizontino 0
Nova Iguacu 0
Fortaleza 1
CRB 1
Figueirense 0
Santos -
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Coritiba -
Bahia -
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Remo -
1/16-finals
Athletic Club 3
Internacional 5
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0
Corinthians 2
Bragantino 2
Mirassol 3
Gremio 5
Confianca 0
Botafogo RJ 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Goias 2
Cruzeiro 3
Atletico-MG 4
Ceara 3
Sao Paulo 2
EC Juventude 3
Paysandu PA 2
Vasco 4
Operario-PR 1
Fluminense 2
Athletico-PR 1
Atletico GO 0
Flamengo RJ 2
Vitoria 3
Palmeiras 7
Jacuipense 1
Fortaleza 2
CRB 1
Santos 2
Coritiba 0
Bahia 2
Remo 5
1/8-finals
Internacional 3
Corinthians 2
Mirassol 1
Gremio 2
Chapecoense-SC 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 1
EC Juventude 0
Vasco 3
Fluminense 1
Athletico-PR 2
Vitoria 4
Palmeiras 5
Fortaleza 3
Santos 1
Remo 0
Quarter-finals
Internacional 1
Gremio 3
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 3
Vasco 3
Vitoria 0
Palmeiras 3
Santos 0
Semi-finals
Gremio -
Atletico-MG -
Vasco -
Palmeiras -
Final
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