Sport Picks

Brazil

Paranaense Estádio Couto Pereira

Coritiba

0 - 1

Sao Joseense

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Niltinho In: Vinicius

Out: Niltinho

52'

Lucas Gaucho

57'

Murillo Lima

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Joseense in this Paranaense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Joseense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Coritiba

33%

Draws

27%

Sao Joseense

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Coritiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sao Joseense haven't matched Coritiba's recent run of results.
40% — that's where the model lands on Coritiba taking it.
Regular Paranaense form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Coritiba Clean Sheet 68%

Sao Joseense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coritiba	Sao Joseense
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.13	0.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Paranaense

Coritiba vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Jan 15, 2025 Paranaense

Coritiba vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Jan 22, 2024 Paranaense

Coritiba vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Feb 12, 2023 Paranaense

Coritiba vs Sao Joseense

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Feb 5, 2022 Paranaense

Sao Joseense vs Coritiba

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sao Joseense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Gaucho

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 50 / 100

Sao Joseense 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coritiba Sao Joseense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 2:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coritiba found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Sao Joseense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Coritiba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Sao Joseense

1.13 Goals Scored 0.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 13%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Londrina	6	4	2	0	14:3	14
2	Foz do Iguacu	6	3	2	1	11:10	11
3	Athletico-PR	6	3	1	2	10:6	10
4	Sao Joseense	6	3	1	2	4:3	10
5	Maringa FC	6	2	2	2	9:7	8
6	FC Cascavel	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azuriz	6	3	2	1	5:4	11
2	Coritiba	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Cianorte	6	1	4	1	8:8	7
4	Operario-PR	6	1	2	3	4:8	5
5	Clube Andraus Brasil	6	1	1	4	6:13	4
6	Galo Maringa	6	1	0	5	5:13	3