Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cork City vs UC Dublin

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross, Cork
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Keating R.
20' Event
Keating R.
28' Event
Keating R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Cork City in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cork City
30%
Draws
29%
UC Dublin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cork City lately — more wins on the board than UC Dublin.
  • Cork City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cork City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cork City Clean Sheet 15%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City UC Dublin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.14 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs UC Dublin
5:1
Jul 24, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
5:2
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs UC Dublin
3:1
Mar 20, 2026 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Cork City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Keating R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maguire S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

UC Dublin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 84 / 100
UC Dublin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City UC Dublin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cork City scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

UC Dublin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Cork City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS UC Dublin
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

UC Dublin

(Away)
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)