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Cork City vs Waterford

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Fitzpatrick J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cork City and Waterford finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Cork City
17%
Draws
70%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cork City come out ahead of Waterford on wins alone.
  • Model gives Waterford a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cork City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cork City Clean Sheet 17%
Waterford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Waterford
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Cork City vs Waterford
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Premier Division
Cork City vs Waterford
2:0
Aug 15, 2025 FAI Cup
Cork City vs Waterford
2:1
Jul 11, 2025 Premier Division
Waterford vs Cork City
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Premier Division
Cork City vs Waterford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzpatrick J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Waterford Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 15 / 100
Waterford 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Waterford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Waterford conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Cork City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Waterford
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%