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Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 General Basra Saran Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corluspor play Bursa Yildirimspor in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Corluspor averaged 2 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Bursa Yildirimspor averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Corluspor won 3, Bursa Yildirimspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Corluspor and 0.81 for Bursa Yildirimspor. This points to a Corluspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Corluspor
28%
Draws
29%
Bursa Yildirimspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Corluspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Corluspor picked up more points recently compared to Bursa Yildirimspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Corluspor Clean Sheet 26%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corluspor Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslantas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Akyel Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corluspor 44 / 100
Bursa Yildirimspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corluspor Bursa Yildirimspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Corluspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Corluspor attacking → ← attacking Bursa Yildirimspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corluspor scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Corluspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 43
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38