Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corluspor vs Malatya

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Eryaman Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Arslantas M.
Assist: Ozler F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Corluspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Corluspor
35%
Draws
27%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Corluspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Malatya haven't matched Corluspor's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Corluspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Corluspor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Corluspor Clean Sheet 68%
Malatya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corluspor Malatya
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 17 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Malatya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslantas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Malatya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corluspor 41 / 100
Malatya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corluspor Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corluspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corluspor's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Corluspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Malatya has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Corluspor VS Malatya
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Corluspor

(Home)
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Corluspor
3 : 1
Kucukcekmece
04 May
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Corluspor
27 Apr
Corluspor
1 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
Page 1 of 6

Malatya

(Away)
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Silifke
1 : 1
Malatya
23 Apr
Malatya
3 : 1
Silifke
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor 4
Bursa Yildirimspor 3
Kucukcekmece 2
Etimesgut 1
Erciyes 38 3
Mazidagi 1
Silifke 2
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 7
Fatsa Bld. 2
Karadeniz Eregli 0
Yozgat 4
Eskisehirspor 4
Balikesirspor 2
Karsiyaka 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Semi-finals
Corluspor 4
Kucukcekmece 2
Erciyes 38 3
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 2
Yozgat 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Final
Corluspor 1
Malatya 0
52 Orduspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1