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Corpus Christi FC vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Cabaniss Athletic Complex, Corpus Christi, TX
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Match Events

21' Event
Collins T.
Assist: Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

FC Naples in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Naples.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Corpus Christi FC
20%
Draws
52%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Naples

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corpus Christi FC lately — more wins on the board than FC Naples.
  • Win probability leans FC Naples's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Corpus Christi FC Clean Sheet 16%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corpus Christi FC FC Naples
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 USL League One
Corpus Christi FC vs FC Naples
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Corpus Christi FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corpus Christi FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corpus Christi FC 19 / 100
FC Naples 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corpus Christi FC FC Naples

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Naples Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Naples's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Corpus Christi FC scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Corpus Christi FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Corpus Christi FC VS FC Naples
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corpus Christi FC

(Home)
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6

FC Naples

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)