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Stadium Background

Corpus Christi FC vs Sarasota Paradise

USA USA

USL League One Cabaniss Athletic Complex, Corpus Christi, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Walker A.
23'
Gomez S.
25' Event
Keegan J.
Assist: Abeal I.

AI Match Summary

Corpus Christi FC in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corpus Christi FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Corpus Christi FC
22%
Draws
18%
Sarasota Paradise
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Corpus Christi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corpus Christi FC lately — more wins on the board than Sarasota Paradise.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Corpus Christi FC taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Corpus Christi FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corpus Christi FC Sarasota Paradise
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 USL League One
Corpus Christi FC vs Sarasota Paradise
4:1
Apr 22, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Corpus Christi FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corpus Christi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Keegan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kwakwa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sarasota Paradise Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corpus Christi FC 58 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corpus Christi FC Sarasota Paradise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Corpus Christi FC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sarasota Paradise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Corpus Christi FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Corpus Christi FC VS Sarasota Paradise
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Corpus Christi FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
18 Jul
New York Cosmos
0 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
12 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
One Knoxville
04 Jul
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
Page 1 of 6

Sarasota Paradise

(Away)
26 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2
Sarasota Paradise
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
21 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
4 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha18112529:2135
2Charlotte Independence17103439:2633
3One Knoxville17103430:1733
4Spokane Velocity18102625:2232
5Athletic Club Boise1893627:2530
6Forward Madison1592429:1529
7AV Alta FC1978426:2129
8Chattanooga Red Wolves1591528:1728
9Fort Wayne1776425:1727
10Corpus Christi FC1857621:2622
11Portland Hearts of Pine1755726:2820
12Westchester SC1854928:2519
13Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
14FC Naples18521119:3017
15Greenville Triumph1542914:2514
16Richmond Kickers17331113:3312
17New York Cosmos17321218:3811
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)