Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corralejo vs CD Marino

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Marino in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Corralejo
20%
Draws
7%
CD Marino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corralejo lately — more wins on the board than CD Marino.
  • Model gives Corralejo a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 19%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corralejo CD Marino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 15
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs CD Marino
1:2
Sep 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Corralejo
2:2
Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Corralejo
1:0
Nov 17, 2010 Copa Federacion
CD Marino vs Corralejo
1:1
Nov 10, 2010 Copa Federacion
Corralejo vs CD Marino
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corralejo 85 / 100
CD Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corralejo CD Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corralejo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Marino has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Corralejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Marino
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corralejo

(Home)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 6

CD Marino

(Away)
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0
CD Marino
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)