Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corralejo vs Estrella

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corralejo in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corralejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Corralejo
35%
Draws
24%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corralejo lately — more wins on the board than Estrella.
  • Model gives Corralejo a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Corralejo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corralejo Estrella
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Corralejo
2:0
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Estrella
1:0
Mar 24, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Estrella
1:0
Nov 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Corralejo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corralejo 67 / 100
Estrella 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corralejo Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corralejo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Estrella let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Corralejo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estrella
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Corralejo

(Home)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 7

Estrella

(Away)
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0
Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2
CD Marino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)