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Corralejo vs Tenerife B

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 game between Corralejo and Tenerife B finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tenerife B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Corralejo
15%
Draws
32%
Tenerife B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tenerife B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Corralejo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 13%
Tenerife B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corralejo Tenerife B
Matches Played 33 44
Wins 13 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.15 1.95
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife B vs Corralejo
3:2
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Tenerife B
1:0
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Tenerife B
2:3
Oct 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife B vs Corralejo
1:1
Apr 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife B vs Corralejo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corralejo 66 / 100
Tenerife B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corralejo Tenerife B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corralejo found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Tenerife B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 44 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Corralejo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tenerife B
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Corralejo

(Home)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
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Tenerife B

(Away)
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
18 Jul
Tenerife
3 : 0
Tenerife B
03 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
26 Apr
Conquense
1 : 0
Tenerife B
19 Apr
Tenerife B
4 : 0
CD Coria
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Marino 38 23 7 8 77:35 76
2 SD Tenisca 38 22 6 10 60:41 72
3 Las Palmas B 38 20 11 7 68:29 71
4 Vera CD 38 20 10 8 68:40 70
5 Lanzarote 38 20 9 9 50:34 69
6 Atletico Granadilla 38 19 8 11 55:37 65
7 Estrella 38 18 9 11 47:34 63
8 Tenerife B 38 16 11 11 70:53 59
9 Corralejo 38 16 10 12 49:45 58
10 Telde 38 16 6 16 55:52 54
11 San Pedro Martir 38 11 14 13 50:59 47
12 UD San Andres y Sauces 38 13 7 18 47:65 46
13 Mensajero 38 13 6 19 54:63 45
14 Villa Santa Brigida 38 12 9 17 56:66 45
15 Atletico Victoria 38 11 12 15 45:62 45
16 Las Zocas 38 11 8 19 46:60 41
17 Tijarafe 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
18 CD Laguna 38 10 7 21 35:55 37
19 Real Sporting San Jose 38 8 8 22 36:68 32
20 CD Charco Del Pino 38 5 7 26 36:78 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)