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Corralejo vs UD Gomera

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corralejo in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corralejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Corralejo
15%
Draws
20%
UD Gomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corralejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corralejo lately — more wins on the board than UD Gomera.
  • Model gives Corralejo a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 20%
UD Gomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corralejo UD Gomera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs UD Gomera
4:1
Sep 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Gomera vs Corralejo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corralejo 85 / 100
UD Gomera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corralejo UD Gomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corralejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Gomera has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Corralejo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Corralejo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corralejo VS UD Gomera
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Corralejo

(Home)
18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1
San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0
Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1
Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1
Union Viera
Page 1 of 6

UD Gomera

(Away)
18 May
Tenerife B
2 : 0
UD Gomera
12 May
UD Gomera
0 : 2
Atletico Granadilla
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0
UD Gomera
28 Apr
UD Gomera
2 : 1
Atletico Victoria
21 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
UD Gomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 26 7 5 90:27 85
2 Atletico Granadilla 38 24 8 6 64:33 80
3 Estrella 38 24 5 9 66:30 77
4 Union Viera 38 22 9 7 82:49 75
5 Mensajero 38 22 8 8 80:37 74
6 Tenerife B 38 17 12 9 63:40 63
7 Vecindario 38 16 12 10 49:38 60
8 Corralejo 38 16 8 14 43:41 56
9 Las Zocas 38 16 8 14 42:56 56
10 Villa Santa Brigida 38 16 6 16 55:59 54
11 Telde 38 15 9 14 47:56 54
12 Ibarra 38 15 7 16 52:45 52
13 SD Tenisca 38 14 9 15 46:62 51
14 Lanzarote 38 13 10 15 59:58 49
15 Atletico Victoria 38 13 6 19 41:49 45
16 Vera CD 38 12 6 20 43:75 42
17 San Isidro 38 8 9 21 38:57 33
18 San Pedro Martir 38 5 9 24 21:43 24
19 Tijarafe 38 5 3 30 31:92 18
20 UD Gomera 38 3 5 30 30:95 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)