Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Correcaminos vs Irapuato

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Marte R. Gómez, Ciudad Victoria
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Sandoval T.
Assist: Ortega W.
8'
Sandoval T.
29'
Sub
Pinuelas F. In: Galindo R.
Out: Pinuelas F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Correcaminos and Irapuato finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Correcaminos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Correcaminos
30%
Draws
51%
Irapuato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Correcaminos haven't matched Irapuato's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Irapuato a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Correcaminos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correcaminos Irapuato
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.62
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Irapuato
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Correcaminos
4:1
Mar 7, 2015 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Irapuato
3:0
Sep 21, 2014 Liga de Expansion MX
Irapuato vs Correcaminos
0:1
Feb 9, 2013 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Irapuato
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correcaminos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Irapuato Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correcaminos 10 / 100
Irapuato 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correcaminos Irapuato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Correcaminos scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Irapuato has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Correcaminos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Correcaminos VS Irapuato
2.25 Goals Scored 1.67
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
88% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Correcaminos

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1
Correcaminos
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3
Correcaminos
Page 1 of 6

Irapuato

(Away)
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
19 Apr
Irapuato
0 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 7 5 2 21:10 26
2 Cancun 14 7 4 3 24:17 25
3 Club Atletico Morelia 14 7 2 5 18:12 23
4 Atletico La Paz 14 5 7 2 22:12 22
5 Jaiba Brava 14 6 3 5 15:15 21
6 Zacatecas Mineros 14 6 3 5 19:20 21
7 Tapatio 14 6 2 6 28:24 20
8 Atlante 14 5 5 4 21:17 20
9 Irapuato 14 6 2 6 27:24 20
10 Tlaxcala 14 5 5 4 16:17 20
11 Venados FC 14 4 4 6 25:25 16
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 14 4 4 6 20:29 16
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 14 3 4 7 17:28 13
14 Correcaminos 14 3 3 8 14:27 12
15 Leones Negros 14 2 5 7 15:25 11
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)