Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Correggese

1 - 2

Desenzano Calvina

Our Tip

Match Events

Giorgini P.

56'

Own Goal

60'

Baraye Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Desenzano Calvina in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desenzano Calvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Correggese

28%

Draws

22%

Desenzano Calvina

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Desenzano Calvina have won more games recently than Correggese.
Correggese are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Correggese Clean Sheet 68%

Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Correggese	Desenzano Calvina
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	11	22
Draws	8	7
Losses	13	3
Goals Scored	1.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Correggese vs Desenzano Calvina

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Desenzano Calvina vs Correggese

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group D

Correggese vs Desenzano Calvina

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group D

Desenzano Calvina vs Correggese

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Giorgini P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Baraye Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 59 / 100

Desenzano Calvina 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Correggese Desenzano Calvina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correggese has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Correggese's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Desenzano Calvina has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Desenzano Calvina

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38

75% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8