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Correggese vs Pistoiese

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Alluci M.
85' Event
Montalto A.

AI Match Summary

The Coppa Italia Serie D game between Correggese and Pistoiese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Correggese
22%
Draws
18%
Pistoiese
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pistoiese come out ahead of Correggese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Correggese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Pistoiese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Pistoiese
0:3
Dec 3, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Correggese vs Pistoiese
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Correggese
1:1
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Pistoiese
3:2
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Correggese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Alluci M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montalto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 68 / 100
Pistoiese 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Pistoiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Correggese remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Correggese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Pistoiese has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Pistoiese
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0