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Correggese vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Siligardi L.

AI Match Summary

Correggese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Correggese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Correggese
6%
Draws
4%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pro Sesto have won more games recently than Correggese.
  • Model gives Correggese a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Pro Sesto
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Pro Sesto
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Correggese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Siligardi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pro Sesto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 95 / 100
Pro Sesto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correggese has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Correggese scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Pro Sesto let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Pro Sesto
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Correggese

(Home)
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1
Correggese
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 7

Pro Sesto

(Away)
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Piacenza
3 : 1
Pro Sesto
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0
Pistoiese
02 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
0 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)