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Correggese vs Pro Sesto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Siligardi L.

AI Match Summary

Correggese in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Correggese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Correggese
15%
Draws
48%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Pro Sesto have won more games recently than Correggese.
  • Model gives Pro Sesto a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Correggese Clean Sheet 22%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correggese Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Pro Sesto
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pro Sesto vs Correggese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Siligardi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Pro Sesto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correggese 13 / 100
Pro Sesto 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correggese Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Correggese scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Correggese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pro Sesto let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Correggese VS Pro Sesto
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Correggese

(Home)
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

Pro Sesto

(Away)
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)