Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cortes vs Idoya

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Idoya in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Idoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cortes
20%
Draws
40%
Idoya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cortes have won more games recently than Idoya.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cortes Clean Sheet 18%
Idoya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Idoya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Cortes
1:1
Sep 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Idoya
2:0
Apr 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Idoya
1:2
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Cortes
3:1
Jan 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Idoya
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 36 / 100
Idoya 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Idoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Idoya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Idoya let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Cortes's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Idoya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

Idoya

(Away)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)