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Corticella vs Victor San Marino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Trombetta M.
32' Event
Farinelli N.
39' Event
Deme S.

AI Match Summary

Corticella in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corticella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Corticella
6%
Draws
90%
Victor San Marino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Victor San Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Victor San Marino lately — more wins on the board than Corticella.
  • Victor San Marino are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Corticella have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Corticella Clean Sheet 20%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corticella Victor San Marino
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Victor San Marino
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Corticella
1:2
Oct 25, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Victor San Marino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Trombetta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farinelli N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Deme S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corticella 10 / 100
Victor San Marino 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corticella Victor San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Corticella scored in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Corticella has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Corticella VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ravenna2
Lentigione1
Corticella2
Victor San Marino1
Final
Ravenna2
Corticella1