Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Corum Stadyumu

Corum FK

1 - 1

Erzurumspor FK

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Samudio B.

40'

Kas E.

43'

Crociata G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Corum FK

17%

Draws

13%

Erzurumspor FK

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Corum FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Erzurumspor FK lately — more wins on the board than Corum FK.
Corum FK are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Corum FK Clean Sheet 20%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Corum FK	Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played	32	34
Wins	18	23
Draws	4	7
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	1.75	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 1. Lig

Corum FK vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Dec 28, 2025 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Corum FK

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 9, 2025 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Corum FK

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 30, 2024 1. Lig

Corum FK vs Erzurumspor FK

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Apr 28, 2024 1. Lig

Erzurumspor FK vs Corum FK

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corum FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Samudio B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corum FK 67 / 100

Erzurumspor FK 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Corum FK Erzurumspor FK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Corum FK found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Corum FK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erzurumspor FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Corum FK VS Erzurumspor FK

1.75 Goals Scored 1.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54