Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corumbaense vs Coxim

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cleiton
10' Event
Pedrinho
20' Event
Caio Vidal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Corumbaense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Corumbaense
20%
Draws
40%
Coxim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Corumbaense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Corumbaense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Corumbaense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coxim, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Corumbaense have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Corumbaense Clean Sheet 15%
Coxim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corumbaense Coxim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Coxim
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Coxim vs Corumbaense
1:2
Mar 16, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Corumbaense vs Coxim
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corumbaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Coxim Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caio Vidal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corumbaense 84 / 100
Coxim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corumbaense Coxim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corumbaense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coxim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Corumbaense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Corumbaense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Corumbaense VS Coxim
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Corumbaense

(Home)
18 Mar
Operario MS
2 : 1
Corumbaense
15 Mar
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Operario MS
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Costa Rica
0 : 2
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 6

Coxim

(Away)
02 Mar
Coxim
0 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Corumbaense
1 : 2
Coxim
16 Feb
Coxim
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
09 Feb
Coxim
0 : 2
Ivinhema
05 Feb
Dourados
2 : 2
Coxim
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS 2
Ivinhema 1
Aquidauanense 2
Pantanal 3
Dourados 2
Costa Rica 1
Coxim 3
Corumbaense 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 3
Pantanal 2
Dourados 2
Corumbaense 0
Final
Operario MS 3
Dourados 2