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Coruripe vs SC Penedense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estadio Gerson Amaral, Coruripe
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Jair
90' Event
Jardeu

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Coruripe
28%
Draws
22%
SC Penedense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Coruripe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Coruripe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Coruripe taking it.
  • Coruripe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 68%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coruripe SC Penedense
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Alagoano
Coruripe vs SC Penedense
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Coruripe
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Coruripe vs SC Penedense
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs Coruripe
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Coruripe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coruripe Compare

Top Goalscorer Jair
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

SC Penedense Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardeu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coruripe 59 / 100
SC Penedense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coruripe SC Penedense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coruripe's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SC Penedense let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Coruripe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coruripe VS SC Penedense
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coruripe

(Home)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
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SC Penedense

(Away)
18 Mar
SC Penedense
2 : 2
Zumbi
02 Mar
SC Penedense
0 : 1
ASA
25 Feb
Londrina
1 : 0
SC Penedense
21 Feb
Miguelense
0 : 1
SC Penedense
07 Feb
ASA
2 : 0
SC Penedense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Clube Sociedade Esportiva3
CSA2
SC Penedense4
Coruripe1
Final
Clube Sociedade Esportiva2
SC Penedense1