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Corwen vs Conwy Borough

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2019/2020
Tue, Mar 31, 2020
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Corwen host Conwy Borough in the Cymru North 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Corwen at 1.1 goals for, 2 against; Conwy Borough at 1.45 for, 2.12 against. Past meetings favor Corwen slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 31, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.05, favoring Conwy Borough. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Corwen
15%
Draws
64%
Conwy Borough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Conwy Borough have won more games recently than Corwen.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Corwen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Corwen Clean Sheet 20%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corwen Conwy Borough
Matches Played 21 33
Wins 4 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.45
Goals Conceded 2 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2020 Cymru North
Corwen vs Conwy Borough
0:0
Oct 16, 2019 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Corwen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corwen 40 / 100
Conwy Borough 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corwen Conwy Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corwen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Corwen scored in 67% of their last 21 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Conwy Borough has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Corwen VS Conwy Borough
0.4 Goals Scored 0.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 2
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corwen

(Home)
12 Jul
Buckley
2 : 2
Corwen
24 Jun
Corwen
0 : 1
Mold Alexandra
21 Sept
Corwen
0 : 1
Llay Welfare
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4
Bow Street
06 Mar
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Corwen
Page 1 of 5

Conwy Borough

(Away)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prestatyn 26 22 2 2 84:19 68
2 Flint Town 24 16 4 4 61:24 52
3 Colwyn Bay 25 15 5 5 47:30 50
4 Guilsfield 22 14 4 4 47:27 46
5 Bangor City 23 11 7 5 29:26 40
6 Llanrhaeadr 23 11 3 9 41:38 36
7 Conwy Borough 24 10 6 8 45:45 36
8 Penrhyncoch 25 11 3 11 31:35 36
9 Rhyl 25 11 2 12 45:38 35
10 Gresford 24 8 5 11 37:38 29
11 Llandudno FC 23 8 4 11 35:38 28
12 Ruthin Town 25 7 7 11 32:40 28
13 Buckley 21 7 3 11 25:45 24
14 Llangefni 26 5 7 14 23:49 22
15 Porthmadog 24 4 6 14 28:47 18
16 Corwen 23 3 5 15 26:55 14
17 Llanfair United 23 2 3 18 26:68 9
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2020/2021 (Main)