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Cosenza vs Audace Cerignola Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, Cosenza
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Ligi A.
26' Event
Moretti A.
46'
Sub
Ba R. In: Garritano L.
Out: Ba R.

AI Match Summary

Cosenza in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cosenza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cosenza
30%
Draws
54%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Audace Cerignola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Audace Cerignola average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Cosenza's 1.21.
  • Win probability leans Audace Cerignola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cosenza here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 17%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosenza Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Cosenza
3:1
Feb 14, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Audace Cerignola
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Cosenza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cosenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garritano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Audace Cerignola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosenza 10 / 100
Audace Cerignola 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosenza Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audace Cerignola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cosenza scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Audace Cerignola has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Cosenza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cosenza VS Audace Cerignola
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosenza

(Home)
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
07 Sept
Catania
4 : 0
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

Audace Cerignola

(Away)
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
06 Sept
Foggia
0 : 2
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)