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Cosenza vs Foggia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla, Cosenza
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Gallo A.
28'
Seck M.
37'
Petito F.

AI Match Summary

Foggia in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foggia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cosenza
30%
Draws
54%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Foggia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Cosenza have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • Foggia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 16%
Foggia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosenza Foggia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Foggia
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Foggia
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Cosenza
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Cosenza vs Foggia
2:0
Mar 1, 2019 Serie B
Foggia vs Cosenza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cosenza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Foggia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravasio M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petito F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosenza 15 / 100
Foggia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosenza Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foggia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cosenza scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Foggia let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cosenza remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cosenza VS Foggia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosenza

(Home)
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

Foggia

(Away)
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)