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Cosmopolites vs Mirebalais

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2021 game between Cosmopolites and Mirebalais finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cosmopolites.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cosmopolites
35%
Draws
34%
Mirebalais
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cosmopolites come out ahead of Mirebalais on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Cosmopolites Clean Sheet 20%
Mirebalais Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cosmopolites Mirebalais
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 15
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.66 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.53 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Cosmopolites
1:1
Oct 24, 2020 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Mirebalais
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Cosmopolites
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Championnat National
Cosmopolites vs Mirebalais
0:0
May 12, 2019 Championnat National
Mirebalais vs Cosmopolites
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cosmopolites 32 / 100
Mirebalais 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cosmopolites Mirebalais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirebalais's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Cosmopolites went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cosmopolites found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cosmopolites VS Mirebalais
0.63 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 0.43
63% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cosmopolites

(Home)
27 Apr
Cosmopolites
0 : 0
Rivartibonitienne
21 Apr
Baltimore
0 : 1
Cosmopolites
11 Apr
Cosmopolites
0 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
07 Apr
Tempete
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
30 Mar
Rivartibonitienne
0 : 1
Cosmopolites
Page 1 of 6

Mirebalais

(Away)
30 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Cosmopolites
23 May
Racing Haitien
1 : 1
Mirebalais
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
09 May
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Mirebalais
06 May
Mirebalais
1 : 1
Don Bosco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arcahaie 17 9 3 5 20:10 30
2 Baltimore 17 8 6 3 12:5 30
3 Triomphe Liancourt 17 9 3 5 17:15 30
4 AS Capoise 17 7 6 4 16:12 27
5 Racing Haitien 17 8 3 6 17:14 27
6 Violette 17 5 10 2 18:13 25
7 Cavaly 17 7 4 6 16:14 25
8 America des Cayes 17 7 4 6 16:15 25
9 Real du Cap 17 6 5 6 21:15 23
10 Tempete 17 6 4 7 18:15 22
11 Juventus 17 6 4 7 12:16 22
12 Rivartibonitienne 17 5 5 7 15:22 20
13 Don Bosco 17 4 7 6 20:21 19
14 Ouanaminthe 17 4 6 7 11:18 18
15 Cosmopolites 17 4 6 7 13:23 18
16 Fica 17 2 11 4 17:16 17
17 Racing des Gonaives 17 3 7 7 12:18 16
18 Mirebalais 17 2 8 7 10:19 14
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)