Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Costa Brava vs Argentino MM

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Vera Oviedo H.
26'
Rassol F.
30' Event
Pipistrelli I.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Costa Brava and Argentino MM finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa Brava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Costa Brava
30%
Draws
37%
Argentino MM
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Argentino MM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Costa Brava haven't matched Argentino MM's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino MM Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Brava Argentino MM
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Argentino MM
2:0
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
Argentino MM vs Costa Brava
0:0
Sep 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Argentino MM vs Costa Brava
3:2
May 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Argentino MM vs Costa Brava
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Argentino MM
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Costa Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipistrelli I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Argentino MM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Brava 41 / 100
Argentino MM 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Brava Argentino MM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Argentino MM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Costa Brava stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Costa Brava VS Argentino MM
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Brava

(Home)
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2
Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
16 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 6

Argentino MM

(Away)
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Villa Mitre
06 Sept
Huracan Las Heras
1 : 2
Argentino MM
30 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Juventud Antoniana
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1
Argentino MM
16 Aug
Argentino MM
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)