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Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu, General Pico
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Costa Brava at 0.9 goals for, 0.83 against; Villa Mitre at 0.79 for, 0.55 against. Head-to-head, Costa Brava have won 1 to Villa Mitre's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.94, favoring Costa Brava. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Costa Brava
35%
Draws
24%
Villa Mitre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Costa Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Costa Brava haven't matched Villa Mitre's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Villa Mitre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Costa Brava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Costa Brava Villa Mitre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 13
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Villa Mitre
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Costa Brava 31 / 100
Villa Mitre 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Costa Brava Villa Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa Brava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Costa Brava found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Costa Brava remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Villa Mitre has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Costa Brava VS Villa Mitre
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Costa Brava

(Home)
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1
Costa Brava
30 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 2
Juventud U.U.
22 Aug
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 1
Costa Brava
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Villa Mitre

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Kimberley
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0
Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0
Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0
Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0
Alvarado
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
Gimnasia Chivilcoy -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras -
Juventud Antoniana -
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM -
San Martin Mendoza -
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
Sol de America -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
Biblioteca Atenas -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -